Brandon

Wednesday, February 20, 2008

Is Hillary Finished?

Something to cry about?
She's running out of excuses and time!



With a 17% blowout in Wisconsin, Obama rocked the Clinton machine and makes it appear that the firewall Hillary plans for March 4th primaries in Texas and Ohio may be more fizzle than fire.

Obama won nearly every demographic group among Wisconsin voters except those over 65. He tied Hillary among white women, union members and among union households. That's nothing but bad, bad, bad and WORSE news for Hillary in the big races to come.

In Wisconsin, Obama picked up 42 delegates and Hillary 29. Obama's delegate lead continues to increase.

Are The Clinton's Up for A Desperate Gamble?

Even if Hillary wins in Texas and Ohio, it would only even up the score of their delegate totals. If she continues to lose, but by a reduced margin than the double digit loss in Wisconsin, she can still limp forward and hope.

It takes 2,025 delegates to win the Democrat nomination. Various news services have differing delegate counts, but Real Clear Politics has Obama at 1,342 and Hillary at 1,265. Reports of delegates available in remaining primaries and caucuses ranges between 716 and 941.

If Obama continues to beat Hillary, he may not accumulate the total number of delegates required for the nomination. At that point the 795 superdelegates (Democrat elected officials) may be the deciding factor. The Clintons are working those superdelegates, most of whom owe something to Bill Clinton, hard.

Tuesday also brought news in the Politico suggesting that the Clinton machine may try and turn pledged Obama delegates. Apparently, there is no rule in the Democrat Party requiring pledged delegates to vote in the convention for the candidate they were chosen to represent.

Such an aggressive move, combined with an attempt to seat the Florida and Michigan delegates excluded under current party rules would create chaos in the Democrat Party and even the Clintons, whose own lust for power knows few bounds, would likely not attempt it.

But when it comes to the Clintons, anything can happen!

Update: Clinton Reality

For those who think that the Clintons see the same writing on the wall as the rest of us, a reminder: Clintons create reality to suit themselves. And just like during the Impeachment crisis when Bill Clinton refused to resign for the good of the Party, it's highly unlikely that they will accept defeat now.

Proof of that surfaced this morning with the release of a new web site funded by the Hillary Campaign: Delegate Hub. In it, Clinton reality is on display with an absolute insistence that they will fight this out to the bitter end no matter what!


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