Before we get to the charts, we had some other global warming related news this week. A bit of background first. In the last 20 years billions of dollars have been spent on a whole new array of scientific instruments which the scientists who push the global warming agenda felt would confirm their view that global warming was an emergency and that man was to blame. Much of this is satellite technology. The irony is that the data coming from these technologically advanced instruments have led to the opposite conclusion.
This week, data from another new satellite, Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment or GRACE satellite launched in 2002 as a joint project between NASA and Germany in 2002. GRACE was designed to study the problem of melting polar ice. Remember that Al Gore warned that the coastline of the United States might soon be underwater because it would get so hot the North Pole would melt. So-called "scientists" have repeated this charge over the years.
The problem is that the time they said the Pole would melt has long ago come and gone and the North Pole still has ice. Santa and the elves won't drown! Of course that hasn't stopped the alarmists from trying to scare children as they did last Christmas in this fundraising drive.
And the GRACE satellite discovered that the rate of ice melting was substantially less than previously hyped by the global warming crowd. As Gomer Pyle used to say "surprise, surprise, surprise!" As far as predictions for the future, researcher John Wahr of the University of Colorado who compiled the data said:
It's important to realize that melting patterns are hard to predict.Got that?
"Even with an eight-year estimate, it's not clear how far into the future you can project," he says. "A lot of people want to predict into the end of the century, but I think it's too dangerous to do that … We don't have enough info to know what'll happen. There's some ebb and flow to these things."
The Sun to blame for global warming
Something so obvious like the statement above can get you in a lot of trouble if you are a scientist trying to get a grant to study the sun's influence on climate. Time and again we've seen how the global warming alarmists will seek to use their clout within the scientific community to punish those who do not support the theory that man is to blame. We saw that happen in the research concluded recently in Europe where scientists from the Danish Space Research Institute had to work for years just for the chance to do their experiments on sun related climate change. Despite attempts by the alarmists to block their research they were finally allowed to do their proceed and found that the sun did play a key role. Again, cue Gomer Pyle.
The explanation of their findings is complicated which brings me to the first chart. From Der Spiegel:
The chart above from Der Spiegel is a graphic companion to an interview the German magazine conducted with Fritz Vahrenholt the author of a new book called "The Cold Sun." Der Spiegel quotes Vahrenholt in the title of the article: "I feel duped on Climate Change:"
Vahrenholt: Many scientists assume that the temperature changes by more than 1 degree Celsius for the 1,000-year cycle and by up to 0.7 degrees Celsius for the smaller cycles. Climatologists should be putting a far greater effort into finding ways to more accurately determine the effects of the sun on climate. For the IPCC and the politicians it influences, CO2 is practically the only factor. The importance of the sun for the climate is systematically underestimated, and the importance of CO2 is systematically overestimated. As a result, all climate predictions are based on the wrong underlying facts.Another graphic companion to the interview is a chart showing cycles of solar activity over the last 500 years.
Global warming heretics have been saying similar things for years only to be dismissed by those with a clear bias in favor of the climate change political agenda and a self interest in preserving the idea that we are in a global emergency which requires drastic measures (measures which end up profiting those who advocate them).
Besides, the blind faith that CO2 is somehow the dominant factor in climate change isn't borne out by the facts. After Al Gore won the Nobel Prize for his global warming hysterics, another Nobel winner, came out with the following chart which compares rising CO2 levels to steady or dropping global temperature models (and that is using the suspect global temperature data which we learned about in Climate Gate).
The alarmists predictions for catastrophe are based on computer models for climate change which were developed decades ago. They have been refined over the years but are still deeply flawed. Dr. John Christy, an award winning NASA scientist testified before Congress in 2009 and shared the following chart which tracked temperature observations and compared them to the computer models upon which the alarmists doom and gloom scenarios are based:
Not only is the expected temperature increase not occurring despite an increase in CO2, another study of new NASA satellite data finds that the "greenhouse effect" which was supposed to be the telltale signature of global warming is absent.
UPDATE: Get Rich Quick with Climate Scares!
For those on the left who haven't caught the brass ring yet on global environmental scaremongering there is still a chance to get your piece of the action. A new book: Cold Cash, Cool Climate: Science-based Advice for Ecological Entrepreneurs written for entrepreneurs and investors, this book describes how to profit from tackling climate change."
Profit is a dirty word when you are talking about oil companies. But apparently investing in soon to be bankrupt solar firms and other green companies who take hundreds of millions in Obama grants and loans is the new way to get rich quick and do no work for it! And not one of these enterprises will impact climate change in any appreciable way whatsoever.
But act quick and get your "green" quick before the jig is up!