America: Help is on the way!
A local newspaper tells the story of "a bundled-up crowd of about 25,000 who had waited hours in the breezy cold," at a rally in Pennsylvania Sunday to show their support for Mitt Romney. Such growing enthusiasm suggests Romney has a shot at upsetting the conventional wisdom and taking Pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes. This comes the day after the Pittsburgh Tribune poll showing Romney and Obama tied in Pennsylvania.
Like Ohio, Wisconsin, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and a number of these other battleground states in which the race is too close to call it all comes down to turnout. And the nearest measure we have to predict turnout is the enthusiasm demonstrated by these huge crowds for Romney. Obama is having trouble matching that enthusiasm with crowds at his events.