I'm a regular visitor to the polling analysis site FiveThirtyEight. It's run by a Democrat but his bias is very subtle and his analysis is honest.
His honest analysis is one reason Democrats have been so down in the dumps lately as they witness the electoral ground shift under their feet since Senator McCain selected Governor Palin as his running mate.
But today he posts a ray of hope:
Morning MusingsOnly Democrats would look on the financial crisis that THEY created as good news.
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
So I've spent the past couple of days at meetings of various kinds in New York, and there was certainly a sense of impeding doom among many Democrats here. The cute analogy that I've come up with are that Democrats are like Cubs fans -- they assume that something will go wrong until proven otherwise.
With that said, people have become decidedly more optimistic in the past 24-48 hours as the economy has returned to the center of the national debate. Obama's never going to be a Clintonesque natural out there on the stump in responding to the economy -- he might have to repeat a message three times where with Clinton it would have sunken in the first one.
Meanwhile, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is giving interviews suggesting Democrats are not to blame.
After years and years of Democrats voting in lockstep against nearly every effort at reforms sponsored by Senator McCain and others in the GOP Pelosi's statement rings hollow.